Monday, December 14, 2009

Which Non-Tenders Will Land Multi Year Deals?


Out of more than 30 players, who were non tendered last season, only three received multi year contracts. The culprits: Ty Wigginton (2 years-Baltimore), Wily Taveras (2 years-Cincinnati), and Aaron Miles (2 years-Chicago). As the list of non tenders was finalized last night, I think the number of non-tenders, who land multi year contracts will be similar to last year's total, but probably wind up lower. Let's take a look at some of the non tenders, who are candidates to land a multi year contract:

Matt Capps


Upside:
  • If Brandon Lyon can land a 3 year/$15 million dollar deal, then shouldn't Matt Capps be able to land at least a two year deal?
  • Capps is only 26 years old
  • Capps has experience closing
  • Capps's ERA from 2006-2008 was 3.04 and his WHIP was 1.05
Downside:
  • Why was he so hittable in 2009?
  • Why did his walk rate rise so dramatically in 2009?
  • Can he be an effective closer on a good team?
  • Does he strike out enough hitters?
********** ********

Jack Cust:

Upside:
  • Averaged 28 home runs from 2007-2009
  • Averaged .378 OBP from 2007-2008
  • Led the AL in walks in 2008
Downside:
  • Can he hit for a high enough average?
  • Declining OBP and slugging
  • Inability to play defense
*********** ************

Ryan Garko

Upside:
  • Very few right handed power hitting first basemen on the free agent market
  • Career .313 hitter against left handed pitching
  • .351 lifetime OBP
  • 6.2 UZR/150 last season at first base
Downside:
  • Can he hit enough to be a starting first baseman?
  • How many teams are willing to give Garko more than a one year deal?
************ *************

Kelly Johnson

Upside:
  • Averaged 14 HR from 2007-2008
  • 39 doubles in 2008
  • .375 OBP in 2007
Downside:
  • Can he hit enough to be a left fielder?
  • Can he field enough to be a starting second baseman?
  • Declining OBP
  • Why has he struggled against right handed pitching?
********** *********

Garrett Atkins


Upside:
  • Averaged 25 HR from 2006-2008
  • .409 OBP in 2006
  • ..289 lifetime batting average
Downside:
  • Is he a product of Coors Field?
  • Defensive liability at third base
  • Declining OBP, slugging %
  • Declining HR total
  • Declining batting average
  • Who is the real Garrett Atkins? At what level will he be able to produce outside of Coors?
****which non tenders do you think will land multi year deals?******

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